The Castaways

Sunday, January 29, 2012

Men's Tribe Speculation

For those of you who have not heard yet, this season of Survivor will include a tribe of men taking on a tribe of women who will live on the same beach together.  In this post I will shortly analyze each competitor.  The men on the Manono tribe are Jonas, Jay, Colton, Matt, Troyzan, Greg, Michael, Leif and Bill. 
Jonas is a tough guy to read.  He is a bit bigger than the rest of the guys and I'm assuming he may try to play the funny guy role.  My best guess is that he will make himself apart of the core guys alliance guaranteeing him a spot in the merge.  From there I don't think he will last long if he is seen as a funny nice guy.
Jay is a male model who seems very athletic but also a pretty nice guy.  He some what resembles a Fabio on the outside but has revealed a nice Christian guy like Matt.  He will definitely make it to the merge and from there, he will be seen as a serious threat.  If my prediction of the women taking control of the game after the merge is right, I think Jay may be able to be one of the last men standing.  The women will love him and some may even trust him.
Like I said in earlier posts Colton will most likely not last very long in the game.  Colton will probably not make very many friends with the guys and some of them will feel threatened by him.  My prediction for him is that he will be first man to go.  
Matt is another guy who will not have a long time on the show.  Spoilers have said that he is one of the first six castaways to go.  My prediction says he will be the sixth most likely executed by the women of his tribe. 
Troyzan seems to be a very interesting character.  He will probably make it very far and probably will make his way into at least the final eight.  From there he may be able to win some immunity challenges and possibly make himself get into the final four.
Greg is very similar to Troyzan.  He will be apart of a core alliance as well and possibly the tribe leader.  Greg will also make it to the merge but he will most likely be one of the early post-merge boots.
Michael is someone who I don't like already.  He makes me think of Sash whenever I see him.  He is definitely a cocky guy who thinks he's some pretty hot stuff.  I think he will also be a early post-merge boot because of his attitude and strength in the challenges. 
Leif will also make it to the merge but will be threatening as well because he is a small person.  If he were to make it to the final three he could easily gather lots of jury votes.  
Bill will mostly likely be the second or first guy to go.  He seems pretty obnoxious and stupid.  He will be an easy target for the women to vote off whenever the tribe swap arrives.  
As you can see I did not predict one of the guys winning this season.  In my next post I will analyze all of the female competitors and make winner predictions.






Monday, January 23, 2012

Who are rumors saying are the pre-merge boots?

*WARNING* This article may contain potential spoilers but none are guaranteed.  Spoilers are found from SurvivorSucks.
Every season a small group of pre-merge bootees are eliminated without getting much T.V time and time to play the game.  If you are like me, then you are very eager to find out which castaways are getting voted off early on.  Many people have found sources of who those people are and I am going to use those ideas and predict what I think will happen with these six people.
SurvivorSucks has spoiled that the six include three men and three women.  These people are: Colton, Bill, Matt, Kourtney, Monica, and Christina.  This would definitely not be the group I would predict right off of the bat but after analyzing these players I can see how each one gets eliminated.
The two players I see going home first would be Kourtney and Colton because both of them wouldn't fit in very easily in their tribes.  Usually the players who don't fit in get a lot of T.V time and then some how make their way far into the game but this time I think these two will be very unlucky.
My guess is that the women will lose the first challenge and because of a limited amount of time to get to know their teammates Kourtney would make an easy first boot. Other rumors have suggested though that she is medically evacuated because she apparently had a broken arm sometime around the show based off of her tweets.
This then leaves Colton to go home second.  Since the tribes of men and women live on the same beach the men may feel threatened by his homosexuality causing him to possibly bond with the women better than the rest can.  And if Colton bonds with the women, then that leaves the other men to feel he has started cross tribe alliances.  This will make him a threat and send him home early.
Previews for this upcoming season have already spoiled that there will be an early tribe swap.  My prediction would be that it would happen after Kourtney and Colton were eliminated.  I have no idea how the new tribes are swapped up but my guess for the third person to get voted off would be Monica.  She will probably be left on a tribe of four men and four women.  Since  she would possibly be the oldest the men may pick her as a weak link.  Which I would totally disagree with because she comes off as very athletic.  Or possibly it may be a group of young pretty girls she is left with on her tribe who may be able to flirt their way past the elimination.  But ultimately I'm guessing Monica is the third boot.
After her I would say Bill would go fourth.  I'm guessing he might be on the opposite tribe of Monica leaving another four men four women group.  This may be a group of very smart, clever women who I think can trick an uneducated Survivor player like Bill.  They might be other to trick other men though as well but Bill possibly could be found as an easy target because he can come off as being naive.




Now the order of Matt or Christina being eliminated is a mystery to me.  Both come off to me as merge material but both are very threatening looking.  Matt for his physicality and Christina because she comes off very very sharp and deceptive.  The women from Bill's tribe will probably target Matt next and the men from Monica's tribe will probably target Christina next.  If I was forced to guess I would guess Christina would be the fifth eliminated and Matt would end up being the sixth to be voted off.

Saturday, January 21, 2012

The players of Survivor One World

This season on Survivor: One World we will be seeing a group of 18 NEW castaways and NO MORE REDMPTION.  Finally we have a season with no returning players to control the whole season.  In my opinion, this is a very well-rounded cast.
For the first time ever, Survivor will be having a little person on the show name Leif.  This really excites me because obviously this guy has to be really tough to be on this show and still be little.  I'm just concerned on how he will be able to carry a torch.  Haha, just kidding.  My prediction for him will be that he is going to definitely make it to the merge but after that he will be voted off pretty quickly.
Another player who stands out to me would have to be Christina.  Christina comes off to me being a very sharp competitor who I could see being a leader to the women's tribe.  For some reason she resembles Ami from Vanuatu, I don't know why but thats why I can see her becoming very powerful.  Sadly, rumors have given away that it is very possible that Christina may become a pre-merge boot.
The new star for this season will most likely become Troyzan.  Like the constant stars from the last few seasons, Troyzan is a middle-aged man who thinks of himself as something crazy and out of the blue.  He will definitely make it very far but he will be one of the very last people to get voted off.  I think he will probably become the leader of the mens tribe and will be very powerful in the challenges.  His one struggle I believe is that he will maybe have a rivalry with Greg who also tried calling himself Tarzan in the interview videos.  Both guys are certainly coming into the game thinking they will become the powerhouse leaders but my prediction is that the other guys will like Troyzan more.
For this season, I still don't know who I believe will win but if I had to pick right now I might have to go with a dark horse player.  My dark horse would have to be Kat.  I have heard she is going to be able to make it to the merge and from their I think she will be under estimated by her opponents.  I think she will get herself into a solid alliance and will make it far.  I have a feeling she will be a very likable player and will twist and turn her way into the final three with possibly two men gaining a possible group of votes from all of the female jury members.  So at the moment I will have to say that Kat will be this seasons soul-survivor.